After a robust Memorial day weekend start, The Little Mermaid retains its opening count of 4,320 theaters from last week, once again owning the title of widest release on both land and sea. The latest adaptation of the charming franchise gathered $95.58 million from North American theaters, while earning less overseas with a take of $68.3 million. This week however the film will slip into second place at the box office as Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse swings into theaters.

The Little Mermaid will land almost exactly in line with our model’s Friday morning prediction, according to Walt Disney Pictures. With $95.5 million projected for the 3-day weekend and $118 million over four days, the film will most likely have the fifth-best Memorial Day opening, a little ahead of Aladdin, which opened with $91.5 million in three days, and $116.8 million over four days in 2019. Internationally, the film is doing less well, with Disney projecting $68 million this weekend.

The Little Mermaid will swim off with the box office crown this Memorial Day weekend, and will almost certainly hit $100 million over the full four-day weekend. The big question as of Friday is whether it will pass $100 million by close of business on Sunday. Our model thinks it’ll be close, but may be underestimating the aquatic adventure’s chances.

It’s a very solid weekend for moviegoers as not only are there five new wide releases arriving in cinemas, but films like Fast X and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 are still pulling in respectable numbers and are available in around 4,000 locations. Despite being the second-widest release in its big screen debut last weekend, the former sped away with the best numbers at the box office, scoring just over $67 million over the weekend and currently enjoying a six-day domestic total of $81.9 million. This weekend though, all eyes are on The Little Mermaid.

Fast X won’t quite hit the $70-million plus North American opening that looked on the cards on Friday, but $67.5 million is a very respectable number for a domestic debut—the fifth-best opening of 2023 in fact. More impressively, it’ll clock up a projected $251.39 million internationally, giving it the biggest weekend outside North America so far this year.

Another weekend, another film from a venerable franchise. Technically, no super heroes are involved this time, but there’s certainly an element of the unreal in the Fast and Furious franchise, which draws up to the starting line for either the tenth or eleventh time, depending on how one’s counting, this weekend. Fast X will win the weekend comfortably, and our model thinks it could make a fast start.

Entering its third week at the box office, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 will three-peat as the widest release by retaining its count of 4,450 theaters from its first two weeks. The film currently enjoys a global box office total of $545 million, with $231 million of that coming from North American cinemas. Unlike last week and next week, we see only one wide release hitting theaters, but it’s a big one: Fast X.

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Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 will have a decline of just 49% at the box office this weekend, according to Disney’s Sunday-morning projection. That’s the third-best performance for a movie from the Marvel Cinematic Universe on its second weekend, behind only the first Black Panther (45%) and the first Thor (47%). It’s also basically tied with the first Doctor Strange. That means it’s also beating every other sequel (of which there are many) in the Marvel universe.

It’s counter-programming week in movie theaters, with four new wide releases trying to lure audiences that aren’t into (or have already seen) The Super Mario Bros. Movie or Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3, with the goal of earning some money before Fast X steamrollers the competition next weekend. Book Club: The Next Chapter is the film most likely to come out on top among the new releases, but a third-place finish is the best-case scenario for the romantic comedy.